The geometry of hope in 2026 elections
Published: 11:07 am Feb 18, 2026
Walk through any busy street or scroll social media for five minutes, the vibe has clearly shifted. As the March 5, 2026, election approaches, politics in Nepal doesn't feel like one-sided speeches, but a cultural movement. Youths are not just listening, they are organising, debating, and speaking up. This election represents a generational handover, a mix of new-age charisma and traditional longing. A new generation is finally demanding a seat at the table where national decisions are made. The faces are fresh, the tone is bold, but beneath that shine, familiarity remains. In Nepal, hope has become our primary political currency. Election manifestos, or ghosanapatra, have historically functioned like mobile recharge cards, useful during campaigns, but essentially a waste after. The issue isn't merely that these documents are published late, but that campaigns rarely centre on them. Instead, the message often revolves around visible leadership and emotion, while policy documents remain in the background. This makes voters ask: Are we choosing leaders based on hope simply because manifestos have failed us? Or are the 2026 promises still too disconnected from Nepal's capacity to deliver? If campaigns are not centred on policy, what, exactly, are we voting for? This election grew out of years of frustration. It is a shared anchor for young voters and experienced observers alike, representing a belief that speaking up might shift the country's direction. Yet, the average Nepali is not asking for a dramatic revolution. They want something much simpler: Predictability. They want roads that don't wash away with the monsoon, hospitals and schools that don't push families into debt, and jobs that do not require a one-way ticket to the Gulf. When we look back at the 2022 elections, job promises were ambitious: UML (500,000 annually), Nepali Congress (250,000), and Maoist Centre (200,000 jobs). There were also commitments to raise minimum wages to Rs.25000 per month. Reality tells it differently. Minimum wage in Nepal has increased steadily to Rs 13,450 (2018), Rs15,000 (2021), Rs 17,300 (2023) and Rs 19,550 (2025), through tripartite agreement. With long-term economic growth averaging 4.35 per cent from 1993 to 2024, sudden wage jumps and double-digit targets do not align with economic reality. While these promises were being made, labour migration hit record highs. In FY 2024-25, labour permits exceeded 830,000. This is a structural deficiency. Remittances now make up around 28 per cent of our GDP, but that money flows back out to pay for imports. Without a 'Make in Nepal' strategy rooted in productivity rather than nationalist slogans, we remain trapped in the cycle of exporting workers and using their remittances to import goods that we could produce ourselves. Today, campaign focus has shifted further toward 'personality over policy'. Emotional appeal dominates the message telling us 'we are new, honest and different'. What is often missing is the 'how'. When image and identity are primary products, the personalities themselves become the 'development plan'. While this feels fresh because these leaders are often visible and active, the pattern might be old. In the past, it was party-loyalty; today, it is digital reach. The platform has changed, but personality-driven politics continue. This is not a critique of the individuals, many of whom bring genuine passion, but a reminder to us voters that a viral clip is not a substitute for a fiscal policy. And since these leaders are popular largely because they have acted in visible ways, this feeds the cycle of hope once again. To be fair, 2026 manifestos show signs of improvement:
- UML talks more about production, digital systems, environment, and implementation-focused planning.
- RSP, backed by economists like Swarnim Wagle, Arnico Pandey, and Sobita Gauta, focuses on governance reform, infrastructure, private-sector friendly laws, aiming for a middle-income status.
- Maoists focus on marginalised groups and guaranteed employment.
- JSPN releases a 27-point manifesto centered on constitutional reform and inclusion, etcetera.