KATHMANDU, MAY 7

The upcoming monsoon season will most likely bring above normal rain in most parts of the country, Department of Hydrology and Meteorology has forecasted.

The department released a long-range forecast on Friday which put together its observation made on the basis of the study from World Meteorological Organization, the department's own technology and study from South Asian Climate Outlook Forum.

According to the recent most prediction, there is 35-45 % probability that northern parts of Province 1, most parts of Madhes Province and southern part of Bagmati Province will receive normal rainfall during this season.

Meanwhile, remaining areas have 35-65 % probability to witness above-normal rainfall.

The maximum temperature in northern parts of the country and in most of Madhes Province is predicted to be normal by 35-55 %, while it will likely be lower than normal in rest of the country.

Similarly, minimum temperature in northern parts of the country will likely be lower than normal while it will likely be normal in remaining areas.

Seasonal Climate Outlook over South Asia for the 2022 Southwest Monsoon Season (June – September) had stated that over most parts of the South Asia, there will most likely be normal to above normal rainfall during the southwest monsoon of the season. This probability shows above normal rainfall along the foot hills of Himalayas, many areas of northwestern and central parts of the region, and some areas of east and southern parts of the region.

It has, further, forecasted above normal minimum temperatures over many areas along foothills of Himalayas, northern, northwestern and northeastern parts of the South Asia and below normal to normal minimum temperatures are most likely over most areas of central, southern and southeastern part of South Asia.

The seasonal maximum temperatures are most likely to be normal to below normal over most parts of the region except over extreme northwest and some areas of northern and northeastern parts of the region.

The outlook was presented in the 22nd Session of South Asian Climate Outlook Forum (SASCOF-22) and Climate Services User Forum (CSUF), which was conducted online from 26-28, April 2022.