Minimum temperature in northern parts is likely to be lower than normal
KATHMANDU, MAY 7
The upcoming monsoon season is most likely to bring above-normal rain across the country, according to a forecast of the Department of Hydrology and Meteorology.
The department has released a long-range forecast by putting together its observation made on the basis of the study from World Meteorological Organisation, the department's own technology and obser-vation of South Asian Climate Outlook Forum.
According to the recent prediction, there is 35-45 per cent probability that northern parts of Province 1, most parts of Madhes Province and southern part of Bagmati Provincewill receive normal rainfall during 2022 monsoon season. Likewise, remaining parts show 35-65 per cent probability to witness above-normal rainfall. The maximum temperature in the northern parts of the country and in most of Madhes Province is predicted to be normal by 35-55 per cent, while it is likely be lower than normal in rest of the country.
Similarly, minimum temperature in the northern parts of the country is likely be lower than normal, while it is predicted to be normal in the re-maining parts. Seasonal Climate Outlook over South Asia for the 2022 Southwest Monsoon Season (June-September) had stated that over most parts of the South Asia, there will most likely be normal to above normal rainfall during the southwest monsoon of the season.
This probability shows above normal rainfall along the foothills of Himalayas, many areas of northwestern and central parts of the region, and some areas of east and southern parts of the region. It hasfurther forecasted above-normal minimum temperatures over many areas along foothills of Himalayas, northern, northwestern and northeastern parts of the South Asia and below normal to normal minimum tempera-tures are most likely over most areas of central, southern and southeastern part of South Asia.
The seasonal maximum temperatures are most likely to be normal to below normal over most parts of the region except over extreme northwest and some areas of northern and northeastern parts of the region.
The outlook was presented in the 22nd session of South Asian Climate Outlook Forum and Climate Services User Forum, which was conducted online from April 26-28.
A version of this article appears in the print on May 08, 2022 of The Himalayan Times.
