Business

Monsoon readiness: The real test of governance

Response has been stronger than prevention; relief has received more attention than risk reduction; and coordination often fades once public attention moves elsewhere

By Gyanendra Ghale

FILE - A man struggles to walk along the flooded street as monsoon season arrives in Lalitpur, Nepal on July 12, 2019. Photo: Navesh Chitakar/ Reuters

Every monsoon, Nepal braces for more than rain. Rivers rise, slopes weaken, roads collapse, bridges fail, settlements flood, families are displaced, and communities are cut off from essential services. What begins as a seasonal weather pattern can quickly become a national test of readiness. As Nepal enters another monsoon season, the country's preparedness is again under scrutiny. Monsoon readiness is not merely a seasonal exercise; it is a test of whether the state can protect lives, infrastructure, livelihoods, and public trust before predictable hazards become disasters. The Balen Shah government has activated a national response plan, strengthened early warning systems, mobilised security forces, increased vigilance through emergency operation centres, and undertaken relocation and eviction drives involving riverbank settlements, particularly in the Kathmandu Valley. Whether these measures are enough remains uncertain. Nepal has no shortage of plans, forecasts, meetings, coordination mechanisms, and announcements. Yet preparedness on paper does not always become readiness on the ground. The real test is whether institutions, infrastructure, communities, and citizens can act before hazards become disasters. Nepal is not starting from zero. Early warning systems, emergency operations, and response structures have developed over the years. The current administration has activated parts of this system as the monsoon begins. That is necessary, but not enough. The question is whether preparedness is operational where risk is highest: exposed settlements, unstable slopes, flood-prone river corridors, fragile roads, major highways, local health facilities, and municipalities that will be first to respond. Relocation of riverbank settlements may be presented as risk reduction. But without safeguards, humane resettlement, livelihood support, education continuity, and health services, relocation can shift vulnerability elsewhere. The Home Ministry's crisis-response mandate is important during emergencies. But Nepal's deeper problem has not been response alone; it has been the failure to reduce known risks before disaster strikes. The test is whether crisis-response capacity can become prevention-oriented readiness: fewer exposed communities, evacuations, blocked roads, displaced families, and preventable deaths. The stakes are high. According to Nepal's Disaster Report 2024, disasters between July 2018 and July 2024 caused approximately Rs 23.60 billion in economic losses and destroyed 43,168 infrastructures across the country. The Monsoon Preparedness and Response National Action Plan (2083) estimates that more than 226,000 people from over 51,000 households could be affected by monsoon-related disasters this year. Disasters are not only humanitarian emergencies; they are development setbacks affecting livelihoods, public services, infrastructure, economic confidence, and trust. Prevention can reduce the far greater cost of relief, recovery, and reconstruction. Nepal is more prepared than before, but not yet ready enough for the scale and complexity of the risks it faces. Too often, action accelerates only after lives are lost, roads blocked, homes destroyed, and communities displaced. Response has been stronger than prevention; relief has received more attention than risk reduction; and coordination often fades once public attention moves elsewhere. Nepal's monsoon risk is not a single disaster but a chain of interconnected risks. Floods expose gaps in warning, evacuation, shelters, and river management. Landslides expose unsafe slopes, fragile roads, and weak land-use controls. Urban flooding exposes poor drainage, encroachment, and weak municipal readiness. Health emergencies expose gaps in trauma care, disease surveillance, water and sanitation, and essential services. Displacement exposes the challenge of balancing risk reduction with humane resettlement. Preparedness cannot be generic; it must be risk-specific, locally operational, measurable and accountable. Several readiness gaps remain. Risk reduction is limited in known high-risk areas where mitigation is incomplete. Local readiness is uneven: municipalities are first responders, yet many lack trained personnel, rescue equipment, shelters, emergency funds, communication systems, ambulances and essential medicines. Major disasters – large landslides, highway blockages, bridge failures, power disruptions, and isolated communities – require federal readiness, including national coordination, security deployment, road clearance, emergency logistics, and surge support. Health and urban readiness also need strengthening, especially in growing towns facing poor drainage, river encroachment, weak construction oversight, and lax land-use enforcement. Monsoon readiness requires all three levels of government, but their roles differ. The federal government must lead national coordination, forecasting, financing, security mobilisation, road and bridge response, emergency logistics and surge support for major disasters. Provincial governments must coordinate across districts, support municipalities, and monitor infrastructure. Local governments must lead community risk mapping, evacuation planning, shelter management, public awareness, first response, and protection of vulnerable groups. Government alone is not enough. Communities, civil society, humanitarian agencies, academia, media, youth groups, volunteers, and the private sector also have roles. The government should now move from preparedness plans to publicly verifiable readiness. Citizens should be able to see what has been promised, completed, pending, and who is responsible. District-level readiness assessments should track evacuation plans, shelter capacity, emergency supplies, rescue equipment, health readiness, road clearance arrangements, and responsible officials. Critical infrastructure – including highways, bridges, hospitals, schools, water systems, electricity networks, and communication facilities – should be monitored, especially in high-risk districts. Local governments must receive the resources, authority, equipment, and personnel needed as first responders, while the federal government must demonstrate readiness for events beyond local capacity. Relocation, where necessary, must be humane, verified, and linked to livelihood, education, health and rights-based safeguards. After major monsoon events, independent reviews should assess whether preparedness commitments translated into operational readiness and whether lessons from previous disasters were acted upon. With transparency and accountability, readiness becomes visible, measurable, and actionable. Nepal does not lack risk maps, plans or warnings. It lacks the discipline to turn known risks into timely action. The ultimate measure of readiness is not how many people are rescued after disaster strikes, but how many never needed rescuing in the first place. Ghale is a former member of the WHO Governance Team in Geneva with an interest in global health, policy, and diplomacy