Business

TAKING STOCK : SAARC not required

TAKING STOCK : SAARC not required

By Rakesh Wadhwa

Kathmandu :

Governments worldwide have treaties for removal of trade restrictions. The European Union (EU) and North America free trade Agreement (NAFTA) are examples.

We, too, are following the example of these and other regional blocs.

We have the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC). Further, each of the seven countries comprising SAARC has its own bilateral agreements with other countries.

Do we need the government to ‘manage’ free trade? Must we have treaties before we open our borders to imports? Would unilateral free trade harm us?

Let us look at countries, which are open to trade without bothering about reciprocity. Whenever countries have eliminated tariffs and cut regulations hindering trade they have gained irrespective of what other countries did. Hong Kong and Singapore practiced unilateral free trade much before these treaties came into fashion. They still do.

Singapore has an average tariff rate of less than one per cent. 96 per cent of all imports are duty free. There are no import quotas.

Licence requirements exist for only a handful of items.

Hong Kong is duty-free and levies no duties except on tobacco, alcohol and fuel. The average rate of tax on imports is below even Singapore’s and close to zero. There are no

licensing requirements or other barriers.

These two dots on the map prove that you do not need treaties to benefits from free trade. If free trade was good only if your trading partners practiced it, then, Hong Kong and Singapore would both have perished under the onslaught of free imports flooding their territories.

Far from perishing both have thrived. Yes, their imports are huge, Singapore’s imports in 2004 were $164 billion, Hong Kong’s was showered with goods from all over the world with imports of $300 billion in the same year.

These duty free imports allowed the puny ‘Davids’ to become trading ‘Goliaths’. Singapore in 2004, exported goods and services valued at $180 billion, Hong Kong was one of the world’s dominant trader with its exports at $311 billion.

If your imports are duty free, you automatically become a low cost producer of everything. It does not take an Einstein to figure out that with this advantage you will become a big exporter as well.

Imports and exports go hand in hand. India, after trade liberalisation in the 90’s has seen its trade multiply. This happened even though India is still highly regulated and duties on imports are amongst the highest in today’s world. When India was almost closed to imports, its currency reserves fell to zero and it had to pawn its gold reserves to fund its ‘essential’ imports like oil. Now, its foreign currency reserves are $140 billion.The United States average tariff in 2004 was 1.8 per cent. Though the US is not as free as Singapore or Hong Kong, as it does maintain restrictions on imports of textiles, beers and wines, cotton, chocolates and other items, the US by global standards has a low level of ‘protection’ from imports.

The US imports in 2004 were the highest in the world at $1.63 trillion, its exports too were the highest at $1.06 trillion. Imports exceeded exports by $570 billion. This ‘deficit’ was higher than any other country’s. No one minds, as countries are happy to send goods to the US for its paper — the US dollar.

Did the US suffer because of its imports? No. Its people enjoy the world’s highest standard of living with access to cheap goods from all over the world.

Anytime trade restrictions are removed we gain. Therefore, treaties if they bring down trade barriers help in improving our standard of living. If SAARC was to bring free trade to this region well and good.

However, as India and Pakistan are unlikely to come together, it is doubtful whether any free trade agreement can be worked out amongst the SAARC nations. Fortunately, Nepal does not have to wait for this to happen.

All Nepal has to do is to unilaterally remove restrictions and custom duties on imports and it will become a trading giant. Cheap imports would allow Nepalis to become competitive exporters and with the markets provided by India and China, Nepal needs to look no further.

(The writer can be contacted at: everest@mos.com.np)