Lending rate unlikely to go down this fiscal as well

There is huge imbalance in deposit collection, credit mobilisation

Kathmandu, October 4

It seems that the lending rate will not come down in this fiscal too as banks have started pledging high rate to collect deposits like in the last fiscal following the rapid expansion of loans in the first two months of this fiscal. Banks were more aggressive in lending than deposit collection in the first two months, which has compelled them to offer lucrative interest rate on deposit schemes to attract deposits.

According to Nepal Bankers' Association (NBA) - the umbrella network of class ‘A' banks in the country - commercial banks have mobilised loans worth Rs 63 billion against deposit collection of Rs 32 billion in the first two months. Total loan mobilisation of commercial banks reached Rs 2,174 billion and deposit collection stood at Rs 2,502 billion till mid-September or till the first two months of this fiscal.

There is huge imbalance in deposit collection and credit mobilisation and the mismatch could add pressure on banks and financial institutions to maintain the credit to core capital cum deposit ratio. Banks can lend up to 80 per cent of the deposit and core capital and Nepal Rastra Bank (NRB) can penalise them if they breach that regulatory requirement.

Bhuvan Kumar Dahal, CEO of Sanima Bank, has said that banks have to put in more effort to collect deposits.

Some of the banks have started raising the fixed deposit and general savings rate at the same range of the previous fiscal. Banks have raised the one-year fixed deposit rate to up to 10.5 per cent and savings rate to seven per cent. A few commercial banks, namely Mega Bank, Civil Bank and Machhapuchchhre Bank, among others, have already published a notice offering the new interest rate on deposits.

The high cost of deposit collection ultimately affects the lending rate and the lending rate could go up in the second quarter too. Though the central bank's new rule allows the banks to bring down the lending rate any time, banks normally publish the base rate every quarter of the fiscal.

In the beginning of this fiscal, the central bank and bankers' had said that the lending rates would come down from the end of the first quarter of this fiscal, however, the situation is different. The lending rate in the second quarter could throw cold water on the borrowers' expectations that the credit rates will come down, as per analysts.

Banks are seen to be aggressive in lending at a time when the central bank has been closely monitoring their deposit and credit mobilisation plan.

Comparative data

Date 

Deposit

Credit

Mid-Aug, 2017

Rs 2,106bn

Rs 1,732bn

Mid-Sept, 2017

Rs 2,127bn

Rs 1,763bn

Mid-Oct, 2017

Rs 2,142bn

Rs 1,787bn

Mid-Nov, 2017

Rs 2,165bn

Rs 1,823bn

Mid-Dec, 2017

Rs 2,193bn

Rs 1,870bn

Mid-Jan, 2018

Rs 2,214bn

Rs 1,922bn

Mid-Feb, 2018

Rs 2,208bn

Rs 1,947bn

Mid-Mar, 2018

Rs 2,219bn

Rs 1,962bn

Mid-Apr, 2018

Rs 2,268bn

Rs 2,002bn

Mid-May, 2018

Rs 2,293bn

Rs 2,023bn

Mid-Jun, 2018

Rs 2,336bn

Rs 2,063bn

Mid-Jul, 2018

Rs 2,470bn

Rs 2,111bn

Mid-Aug, 2018

Rs 2,455bn

Rs 2,115bn

Mid-Sept, 2018

Rs 2,502bn

Rs 2,174bn

Source:NBA